BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Penn State
Class: 1A Class Rank: 5 Conference: Big 10 Conference Record: (7-2) Overall: (11-2) Overall Strength = 182.72
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08/31/2019 Home W 204.97 79 7 1B 27 ( 5- 7) Idaho 22.40 * 49.60
2 09/07/2019 Home W 184.14 45 13 1A 68 ( 8- 5) Buffalo 1.57 30.43
3 09/14/2019 Home W 159.73 17 10 1A 74 ( 8- 5) Pittsburgh -22.83 29.83
4 09/27/2019 Away W * 212.07 59 0 1A 95 ( 3- 9) Maryland 29.50 29.50
5 10/05/2019 Home W * 184.28 35 7 1A 56 ( 4- 8) Purdue 1.71 26.29
6 10/12/2019 Away W * 182.09 17 12 1A 16 ( 10- 3) Iowa -0.47 5.47
7 10/19/2019 Home W * 183.69 28 21 1A 11 ( 9- 4) Michigan 1.12 5.88
8 10/26/2019 Away W * 187.89 28 7 1A 42 ( 7- 6) Michigan St 5.32 15.68
9 11/09/2019 Away L * 169.93 26 31 1A 20 ( 11- 2) Minnesota -12.64 7.64
10 11/16/2019 Home W * 170.21 34 27 1A 32 ( 8- 5) Indiana -12.36 19.36
11 11/23/2019 Away L * 190.99 17 28 1A 1 ( 13- 1) Ohio State 8.43 -19.43
12 11/30/2019 Home W * 158.44 27 6 1A 123 ( 2- 10) Rutgers -24.13 * 45.13
13 12/28/2019 Neutral W 184.96 53 39 1A 21 ( 12- 2) Memphis 2.39 11.61
Averages 182.57 35.8 16.0
Best game: 212.07 = 59 point win over Maryland
Worst game: 158.44 = 21 point win over Rutgers
Team stdev: 15.55